Obama ’08

Struggling Lower-Class Still Unsure How Best To Fuck Selves With Vote

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As election day nears, millions of the nation’s poorest voters have reportedly yet to settle on the most profound and enduring way to completely fuck themselves over when they head to the polls this year.

“On the one hand, I’m pretty sure Barack Obama will undermine my best interests by maintaining the same centrist, pro-corporate policies of previous Democratic administrations,” said Jim Estey, 34, a recently laid-off assembly-line worker. “Conversely, I agree with McCain and Palin on abortion, which might just balance out the fact that they’ll further marginalize people like me by supporting deregulation and slashing social programs. So it’s pretty much a toss-up at this point.”

Though such behavior appears to directly undermine their own well-being, lower-income voters have historically supported candidates determined to screw them six ways to Sunday, including Bill Clinton, who incarcerated them in record numbers and cut the welfare benefits many depended on for day-to-day sustenance, and George W. Bush, who widened the gap between them and the rich and sent thousands of them to die in Iraq. This year’s election is reportedly unique in that the nation’s poor must not only weigh how deeply and painfully their chosen candidate will penetrate their rectums, but must also consider unforeseen outside circumstances—such as economic collapse and terrorism—that might allow the next president to bend them over and brutally rape them in ways they never thought possible.

The latest polls indicate that a majority of lower-class citizens might choose not to vote at all Nov. 4, preferring instead to leave the details of how they get fucked to the moneyed classes.

My Election Predictions

Presidential Election: Obama will win the election decidedly due to higher than anticipated 18-30 year old and African-American turnout, both of which are not being captured by current polls. Nationally, Obama will come away with a 6-8 percent margin in the popular vote, and will pull off some electoral surprises on the way.

Obama will carry 2 of 5 of the following states: South Dakota, North Dakota, Montana, Georgia, or Arizona. Georgia is the greatest possibility while Arizona is the least likely to flip, and if Obama does lose Georgia, it will be by less than 2 percent, leaving some to question the wisdom of pulling out his ground game following Palin’s nomination. South Dakota and Montana both have been trending positively towards Obama and upticket support from popular Democratic Senators will also help in providing an upset in one of these two states.

Among battleground states, Ohio and Florida will be split between McCain and Obama, with Obama more likely to pick up Ohio and McCain Florida. Obama will pick up Nevada while McCain will hold onto Missouri, though by the slimmest of margins. Similarly, Indiana will be a contest decided by less than 2 percentage points that goes to John McCain.

Other surprises will include the margin of victory in Virginia, where Obama will win by high single digits to low double digits, much due to the up-ticket swing provided by Democrat Mark Warner (who will win his Senate race by approximately 30 percentage points). Less of a surprise will be Obama comfortably winning North Carolina in the 7 to 10 percent range.

Other non-surprises will include Obama sweeping the Midwest except for Indiana, including a double digit victory for Obama in Pennsylvania, despite recent polls showing tightening. Obama will also win Colorado and New Mexico by high single digits and will pull away in New Hampshire with a double digit victory.

Predicted Final Electoral College Outcome: 343 for Barack Obama, 195 for John McCain. Map below:

Senate Races: In my estimation, there will be two Senate “surprises”.

One is in Georgia, where incumbent Republican Senator Saxby Chambliss will be defeated by 2 to 3 points by Democratic challenger Jim Martin. I attribute this to two factors: the eventual commitment of African-Americans to the Democratic brand and the continuation of current momentum that sees Jim Martin picking up 2 to 3 additional percentage points, namely from independent whites voting for McCain and yet ‘undecided’ African-Americans.

The other will be in Minnesota, where Democratic challenger Al Franken will lose in the high single digits to incumbent Republican Senator Norm Coleman, with Independent Dean Barkley taking approximately 20 percent of the vote. Democrats will be kicking themselves for putting up an unprepared, novelty nominee in a state where Obama will win by double digits. This will be especially bitter as they will sit on 59 Senate seats, just short of the Super Majority, for the next 2 years because they didn’t run a serious candidate in Minnesota. Unfortunately for the Democrats, Republicans will hold onto the Kentucky and Mississippi Senate seats more comfortably than expected.

Some other things to watch will be Elizabeth Dole’s campaign come crashing down in flames, contributing to much up-ticket resentment against the Republican brand. I’m currently foreseeing her losing by 8 to 12 percentage points — much higher than currently polled. Similar (very foreseeable) things will be occurring to the Stevens and Sununu campaigns, with both losing in the low-to-mid teens, percentage wise.

The final composition of the Senate is estimated to be 57 Democrats, 41 Republicans, and 2 Independents.

Some things to note: The election in general is highlighted by a strong rejection among right-centrist voters for the Republican brand. As such, I am expecting a significant decrease in straight Republican voters, especially in typical conservative strongholds, leading to wider margins of victory for Democrats in both national and senatorial races. Conversely, Democrats will be kicking themselves on Wednesday morning for overreacting to Palin’s nomination by pulling out of Georgia and not vetting out a stronger candidate for the Minnesota Senate race.

Pot Calling the Kettle an Inferior Race

You know what scares me most? Eugenics.

It is human nature to be comforted by our allegiances. There’s a certain exhilaration one gets from being on a team. The bond of comradery and love is something we as people value deeply, and such unity is often found in things like tribalism, nationalism, and, most troublingly, ethnic supremacy.

The dagger is when pride’s isolating effect divides people against each other. One can look to many instances where this type of behavior has occurred, but history’s most glaring and egregious example, where the dream of unity provoked terrible violations against humanity, is, needless to say, Hitler’s push for an Arian master race.

Science has shed light on genetic differences between ethnicities and too often people use these differences to validate ideas of racial superiority.

Ironically, there is a considerable number of people from the Jewish community who have espoused the same type of ethnic superiority eugenics that Hitler did, which reminds me of something Nietzsche said: “He who fights with monsters might take care lest he thereby become a monster. And if you gaze for long into an abyss, the abyss gazes also into you.”

Here is what I think is important to remember:
• Ethnic political equality should be of foremost concern
• Biological differences are two minimal and complicated to a) fully understand and b) dictate policy
• Ethnic superiority should be avoided.

Sarah Palin Has Proven To Be The Worst Vice Presidential Pick In American History

CNN confirms the obvious:

A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey released Sunday indicates that McCain’s running mate is growing less popular among voters and may be costing the Republican presidential nominee a few crucial percentage points in the race for the White House.

Fifty-seven percent of likely voters questioned in the poll say that Palin does not have the personal qualities a president should have. That’s up eight points since September. Fifty-three percent say that she does not agree with them on important issues. That’s also higher than in September.

What’s most interesting is there isn’t a lot to point to in what went wrong in the McCain campaign. Frankly, it’s kind of impressive he was able to run this strong given the financial crisis and Bush’s legacy. But damn, the whole shit house really went in flames when he selected Sarah Palin, over more experienced and likable women like Olympia Snow or less marginalizing moderate figures like Tom Ridge or Joe Liebermann. With that said, let’s recap what Sarah Palin has meant to the McCain campaign:

Sarah Palin has the highest negative ratings of any candidate in the 2008 election, is the most polarizing political figure in the current campaign, and is viewed as one of the most disliked politicians by independents and women (not to mention regarded as the least qualified)… and somehow she is supposedly the future of the Republican party?

By making Sarah Palin the face of reformed, post-Bush conservatism, the Republicans are showing they have learned nothing from the past 8 years. Palin as the figurehead of the new vanguard is a fitful protest from the radical elements of the Republican party that are unrelenting and inflexible about their own share of power within the party and the American political paradigm. Rather than thinking forward, these elements continue to live in the 2000 American political climate — one absent of real foreign and domestic issues, and thus beset by moral challenges set forth by the indiscretions of the Clinton administration.

But it is now 2008 and soon to be 2012, where the determination of Christian morality of 2000 and 2004 have given way to the foreign policy and economic realities of 2008. The Republican vision remains locked on legislating the perceived evils out of society while quixotically pursuing and pushing the foolhardy neoconservative agenda of the Bush administration. This vision runs in stark contrast to the direction envisaged by the majority of the American electorate, with Palin serving as a all-to-clear reminder to the American voter of the worst elements of the discredited neoconservative movement. The elevation of Palin as the keystone to the future of the GOP can be best described as the self-immolation of the Republican Party.

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See Also: John McCain: Dishonest and Dishonorable, Quebecistan Terrorists Attack Our Dear Bible Spice, Sarah Palin doesn’t understand the First Amendment, Not The First Time, The Coming Republican Minority, Palin Continues to Hold McCain’s Head Under Water, John McCain mocks Sarah Palin on ‘SNL’: Funny or tacky?, Spread The Wealth Around, and Why Obama is going to win in a landslide.

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